Tablets and wireless Internet - what awaits us in 2011?
I was prompted to write a video from the Apple, Yota and Skolkovo conference on the impact of new technologies on modern society. I will try to share my thoughts about what to expect in the near future, namely, exactly in a year.
Turbulent netbook sales will decline. Already this year several iPad competitors will be released, some more functional, some cheaper. New users will switch to these devices, because it is more understandable than a netbook, in some way more convenient, in something more functional. The iPad-2 will come out, probably with optional WiMax and a webcam, as well as slightly improved basic features.
Accordingly, Yoty and 3G from the Big Three will be more and more (in terms of coverage), and 3G tariffs will slowly but surely creep down, because they inevitably lose to more modern WiMax and LTE both in (trite) speed and resource intensity, which is why Iota can afford unlimited tariffs for users, and the Big Three, alas, no. ')
In the video, Denis Sverdlov names three main “bottlenecks” of modern mobility: - screen size (obviously, iPhone devices are only 3 "-4", browsing them is not comfortable) - battery (Apple understands this well, and if many netbooks still “live” for 2 hours, then the iPad works 10 hours on one charge) - communication speed (EDGE has a completely unacceptable quarter of megabit; 3G - a couple of megabits; WiMax - potentially 10 mbps, in reality, from Yota, usually 2-5)
All these three bottlenecks are solved, but in different devices and technologies. - Screen size - in netbooks (clumsy solution, because non-geeks need simple functionality, akin to mobile phones) and tablets (iPad and competitors). - Battery - in new netbooks versions appear at 5-6, very rarely - 8 hours. Aypad set the bar for tablets as devices “between” mobile and netbooks, bringing the real figure to 10 hours, in fact - one full day. - Communication speed - no one uses 3G among my acquaintances, but all who have laptops use Yota. I think the creators of Aypad-like devices (Samsung, Dell, someone else) can catch this trend and build WiMax support there, which will ensure a 100% hit in the desires of the target audience from Moscow, St. Petersburg and other Yota cities.
Conclusion: in the coming year we expect a flurry of tablets, some of which will support WiMax and therefore will be popular, the rest will dilute the market.