Juniper Research on the growth of mobile VoIP
Juniper Research has released an analytical note under the poetic name “Voice in Mobile Networks - Whispers of Change” (Whispers of Change) , which gives a brief overview of its more extensive report on the development strategies of VoIP services in mobile networks.
Juniper Research estimates that the number of mobile VoIP users will exceed 100 million this year.
Their growth will most likely be higher in developed markets (thanks to infrastructure), although the resulting traffic may be higher in emerging markets (due to calls from migrant workers).
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Their distribution by region Juniper is as follows:
The author of the report, Anthony Cox (Anthony Cox), says that Juniper is awaiting replenishment in the ranks of operators who have a special relationship with VoIP services, as 3UK and Verizon Wireless have already done with Skype. Alliances with mobile VoIP services and can be the best way for operators trying to figure out what to do with the spread of mobile VoIP.
A large share of mobile VoIP traffic will go through Wi-Fi networks, generally bypassing cellular networks of operators: such traffic can mean a loss of revenues of cellular operators at the level of $ 5 billion by 2015.
Juniper researchers warn operators that the role of voice traffic will change significantly in the near future due to structural, technological, and competitive reasons. While voice penetration has reached the saturation point of the market, VoIP, on the contrary, is only gaining momentum, due to the fact that the data transfer speeds and the capabilities of mobile devices now make it possible to successfully transmit voice over IP. In addition, Wi-Fi on the one hand “unloads” the network of operators, and on the other - gives new players the opportunity to enter the “voice” market. Finally, there is an increase in pressure on operators from regulators that require the introduction / maintenance of the principle of “network neutrality” (net neutrality). And despite all these changes, the voice remains the main product in the networks of operators.
A recent review by the OECD (OECD Communications Outlook 2009) states that from 2006 to 2008. prices for voice traffic fell by 21% for “light” subscribers who call little, by 28% for “medium” subscribers, and by 32% for “heavy” subscribers. The decline in prices for voice traffic can be seen both in mature markets (where the 100% saturation point has been passed) and in developing ones (where operators have to attract those who previously simply could not afford mobile communications).
The deployment of 3G networks spurred the growth of mobile Internet traffic consumption, and the upcoming transition to LTE as the core network technology should help operators achieve significantly higher speeds and cope with traffic volumes. But today the connection speed allows VoIP applications to work in mobile networks.
Obviously, the price of voice calls will decline, and operators will no longer be able to consider voice as a standalone product, it will become part of tariff plans that combine data and voice, and the attractive tariffs for calls will only be available as part of a larger package. .
If you look at it in this light, it becomes obvious that “allowing” VoIP to your mobile networks is a logical step for operators, because then it’s just the choice of the optimal way to transfer a certain type of data.
Juniper Research estimates that the number of mobile VoIP users will exceed 100 million this year.
Their growth will most likely be higher in developed markets (thanks to infrastructure), although the resulting traffic may be higher in emerging markets (due to calls from migrant workers).
')
Their distribution by region Juniper is as follows:
The author of the report, Anthony Cox (Anthony Cox), says that Juniper is awaiting replenishment in the ranks of operators who have a special relationship with VoIP services, as 3UK and Verizon Wireless have already done with Skype. Alliances with mobile VoIP services and can be the best way for operators trying to figure out what to do with the spread of mobile VoIP.
A large share of mobile VoIP traffic will go through Wi-Fi networks, generally bypassing cellular networks of operators: such traffic can mean a loss of revenues of cellular operators at the level of $ 5 billion by 2015.
Juniper researchers warn operators that the role of voice traffic will change significantly in the near future due to structural, technological, and competitive reasons. While voice penetration has reached the saturation point of the market, VoIP, on the contrary, is only gaining momentum, due to the fact that the data transfer speeds and the capabilities of mobile devices now make it possible to successfully transmit voice over IP. In addition, Wi-Fi on the one hand “unloads” the network of operators, and on the other - gives new players the opportunity to enter the “voice” market. Finally, there is an increase in pressure on operators from regulators that require the introduction / maintenance of the principle of “network neutrality” (net neutrality). And despite all these changes, the voice remains the main product in the networks of operators.
A recent review by the OECD (OECD Communications Outlook 2009) states that from 2006 to 2008. prices for voice traffic fell by 21% for “light” subscribers who call little, by 28% for “medium” subscribers, and by 32% for “heavy” subscribers. The decline in prices for voice traffic can be seen both in mature markets (where the 100% saturation point has been passed) and in developing ones (where operators have to attract those who previously simply could not afford mobile communications).
The deployment of 3G networks spurred the growth of mobile Internet traffic consumption, and the upcoming transition to LTE as the core network technology should help operators achieve significantly higher speeds and cope with traffic volumes. But today the connection speed allows VoIP applications to work in mobile networks.
Obviously, the price of voice calls will decline, and operators will no longer be able to consider voice as a standalone product, it will become part of tariff plans that combine data and voice, and the attractive tariffs for calls will only be available as part of a larger package. .
If you look at it in this light, it becomes obvious that “allowing” VoIP to your mobile networks is a logical step for operators, because then it’s just the choice of the optimal way to transfer a certain type of data.
Source: https://habr.com/ru/post/95240/
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