Predict the future, habrachelovek

During the celebration of the 75th anniversary of the Artek pioneer camp in 2000, a capsule was opened with a message from the pioneers of the 1960s to the Artekites in 2000. The message was signed by 1,200 Artek members from all republics of the Soviet Union, then it was packed into a capsule and sealed in a metal rocket, which had been stored on Kostrovaya Square for “Artek” for 40 years. On the solemn lineup, the rocket was sawed and a “letter to the future” was extracted from there. The pioneers of the 1960s assumed that in 2000 all the peoples of the earth live in peace, people fly to the moon, and Artek already has its own launch site.

The post is inspired by a picture from the movie “Back to the Future 2”, which depicts the year 2015.
It has been noticed that people are prone to make mistakes in predicting the future, and in the direction of significant exaggeration of their own or global achievements.
This has been repeatedly confirmed in the predictions of futurologists and science fiction writers. Our brain is able to easily predict the future for a short period of time, but a range of several years is an impossible task for it. Why do we exaggerate progress?
I would like to conduct a small experiment to better understand this phenomenon. On Habré many intelligent educated people who are familiar with the development of modern technology.
The essence of the experiment is as follows: if you are interested, make your forecast in any field of science and technology for a year, three or five years.
As time passes, we will see how many people were close to the truth, and how many were wrong.
Well, I will make the first prediction on which the fate of the experiment depends - Habr should survive the next five years)