Yesterday, IDC
published a forecast of the development of the global mobile phone market until 2013 (Worldwide Mobile OS 2009-2013 Forecast and Analysis). According to analysts, the main trends here will be the change of OS generations and the onset of Android.
The old generation (BlackBerry, Symbian and Windows Mobile) is gradually being replaced by new powerful platforms based on open standards (Android) and intuitive design and navigation (Mac OS X and webOS). However, in such a short time, the leader (Symbian) cannot be shaken, because Nokia’s positions are too strong.
According to the forecast, the Android operating system will take the second place. Starting with a tiny amount of sales of 690 thousand in 2008, the devices on this platform will have a distribution of 68 million units by 2013: over the five years the increase is 98 times, that is 150% annually. After four years, Android will capture 17% of the world market and overtake Mac OS (iPhone). By the way, Gartner analysts announced the
same forecast earlier.
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Overall, the IDC forecast is very optimistic. The market for mobile phones and smartphones should grow by an average of 20.9% per year. By 2013, sales will grow to 391 million units.