5+ technologies that will never be
Written suddenly, in peak post habrahabr.ru/blogs/columns/79288
When I was born in 1980, my dad observed me and my mom in the maternity hospital by videophone. There is no videophone now.
When I worked in one telecom already a year in 2003 - we delivered a batch of Polycom video call stations, counting on a rich introduction. Stations and are in stock.
')
Now, when I went into hysterics about 3G in GSM networks (which is absurd in itself), marketers call video telephony one of the main applications again, for the hundredth time.
I have a vague suspicion that this will be another puff. And the problem here is not in technology (see the first paragraph), but in human psychology.
In the seventies, we have already made our choice. In fact, we traded the stars for computer shooters. The point of no return has been passed - too much power of all active humanity has been invested in computer technology, but the traditional “heavy” ones have almost been lost.
I'm not saying that this is bad or good, I just state a fact. There will be no “vertical” progress in space technology - as we flew 50 years on barrels of kerosene and hydrazine, so will we.
In the 80s of the 20th century, it was technologically possible to create compact mobile nuclear reactors. They saw a lot of applications - from nuclear locomotives on railways to heating remote villages in the Far North. A little earlier, work was also being done on a nuclear rocket engine, which they are now trying to reanimate (mostly in the form of beautiful pictures).
Chernobyl syndrome has put an end to the progress of nuclear technology.
We will not see the nuclear power plant, communal nuclear power, small-sized autonomous desalination of sea water (and the only prototype in Shevchenko is alive interesting? Or did the Kazakhs have already cut it out?), Civilian fleet on nuclear energy.
Attempts to build a megaTOCAMAC in the form of ITER resemble drank dubs on a global scale, rather than a real scientific and applied project.
“A cow is not a herbivore, but a micro-eating one. There are trillions of microbes living in her stomach, decomposing the food she consumes, and the cow digests the microbes. So why not give microbes another food, more nutritious, on which they will grow faster and fatter? ”
From this simple thought, and was born, and then biotechnology successfully died in infancy. Production of artificial organic compounds, at first simple, like urea, for additives in feed, and then more and more complex, even artificial proteins, from simple hydrocarbons.
This promised a real revolution in agriculture and in the economy as a whole.
Of the whole industry, only the ruins of the Manturovsky biochemical plant remained, on which modern barbarians set up sawmills.
No comments.
PS The post does not give any estimates, only states the facts. It is possible that accuracy is somewhere to the detriment of simplicity of presentation - I apologize.
PPS I welcome reasonable criticism, clarifications and additions to the list.
1. Video telephony, as the simplest example.
When I was born in 1980, my dad observed me and my mom in the maternity hospital by videophone. There is no videophone now.
When I worked in one telecom already a year in 2003 - we delivered a batch of Polycom video call stations, counting on a rich introduction. Stations and are in stock.
')
Now, when I went into hysterics about 3G in GSM networks (which is absurd in itself), marketers call video telephony one of the main applications again, for the hundredth time.
I have a vague suspicion that this will be another puff. And the problem here is not in technology (see the first paragraph), but in human psychology.
2. Cosmos
In the seventies, we have already made our choice. In fact, we traded the stars for computer shooters. The point of no return has been passed - too much power of all active humanity has been invested in computer technology, but the traditional “heavy” ones have almost been lost.
I'm not saying that this is bad or good, I just state a fact. There will be no “vertical” progress in space technology - as we flew 50 years on barrels of kerosene and hydrazine, so will we.
3. Nuclear and Thermonuclear Technologies
In the 80s of the 20th century, it was technologically possible to create compact mobile nuclear reactors. They saw a lot of applications - from nuclear locomotives on railways to heating remote villages in the Far North. A little earlier, work was also being done on a nuclear rocket engine, which they are now trying to reanimate (mostly in the form of beautiful pictures).
Chernobyl syndrome has put an end to the progress of nuclear technology.
We will not see the nuclear power plant, communal nuclear power, small-sized autonomous desalination of sea water (and the only prototype in Shevchenko is alive interesting? Or did the Kazakhs have already cut it out?), Civilian fleet on nuclear energy.
Attempts to build a megaTOCAMAC in the form of ITER resemble drank dubs on a global scale, rather than a real scientific and applied project.
4. Biotechnology
“A cow is not a herbivore, but a micro-eating one. There are trillions of microbes living in her stomach, decomposing the food she consumes, and the cow digests the microbes. So why not give microbes another food, more nutritious, on which they will grow faster and fatter? ”
From this simple thought, and was born, and then biotechnology successfully died in infancy. Production of artificial organic compounds, at first simple, like urea, for additives in feed, and then more and more complex, even artificial proteins, from simple hydrocarbons.
This promised a real revolution in agriculture and in the economy as a whole.
Of the whole industry, only the ruins of the Manturovsky biochemical plant remained, on which modern barbarians set up sawmills.
5. Nanotechnology
No comments.
PS The post does not give any estimates, only states the facts. It is possible that accuracy is somewhere to the detriment of simplicity of presentation - I apologize.
PPS I welcome reasonable criticism, clarifications and additions to the list.
Source: https://habr.com/ru/post/79339/
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