25 forecasts of the main futurologist Cisco

In connection with the 25th anniversary of Cisco, the chief futurologist of the consulting division of Cisco IBSG Dave Evans (Dave Evans) announced his forecast for the further development of technology. Dave is a frequent visitor to US television channels and radio stations, and his predictions are readily published by such publications as the Financial Times newspaper and Forbes magazine.

In his opinion:

• By 2029, for $ 100, you can buy a storage system with a capacity of 11 petabytes. This amount of electronic memory will be enough to play DVD-quality video for over 600 years round the clock.
• In the next 10 years, the speed of data transmission in home networks will increase by 20 times.
• By 2013, the monthly amount of traffic in wireless networks will be 400 petabytes (today all global network traffic is 9 exabytes per month).
• By the end of 2010, there will be a billion transistors for each person on our planet, each worth one million US dollars.
• The Internet is evolving to the extent that it can support instant communication regardless of distance.
• The first commercial quantum computer will appear by mid-2020.
• By 2020, a personal computer valued at one thousand US dollars will be on a par with the human brain.
• By 2030, the computing power of a personal computer worth one thousand US dollars will be equal to the thinking ability of the population of the whole village.
• By 2050, if by that time the population of our planet is 9 billion people, the power of a computing device worth one thousand US dollars will be equal to the computing power of all mankind.
• Today we know 5 percent of what we will know in 50 years. In other words, 95 percent of the knowledge that will be available to people by 2060 will be the result of discoveries made in the next 50 years.
• In the next 2 years, the volume of information in our world will increase six times annually, and the volume of corporate data will increase 50 times annually in the same period.
• By 2015, Google will index about 775 billion pages of content.
• By 2015, mankind will create content annually, the amount of which is 92.5 million times the amount of information stored in the library of the US Congress.
• By 2020, every inhabitant of our planet will, on average, store 130 terabytes of personal data (today this volume is 128 gigabytes).
• By 2015, the amount of downloaded movies and files that users share between themselves will increase to 100 exabytes, which is 5 million times the amount of information stored in the Library of Congress.
• By 2015, video sharing will be widespread, and it will generate 400 exabytes of traffic, which is 20 million times the amount of information stored in the Library of Congress.
• By 2015, the amount of data that will generate telephone, Internet, email, photo and music files, will be 50 exabytes.
• Over the next two years, the amount of information on the World Wide Web will double every 11 hours.
• By the beginning of 2010, 35 billion different devices will be connected to the Network, i.e. almost 6 devices for each inhabitant of our planet.
• By 2020, more devices than people will work on the Internet.
• With the introduction of IPv6 on the Internet, there will be so many email addresses that each of the stars known to mankind in the universe can be provided with 4.8 trillion addresses.
• By 2020, every electronic device will have a universal application for translation from other languages.
• After 5 years, any surface can perform the functions of the display.
• By 2025, the first cases of teleportation at the particle level will appear.
• By 2030, it will be possible to implant artificial tissue into the human brain.

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Source: cisco | com