Studying the topic of p2p media (peer-to-peer media) as a variety of personal media, I discovered that there is already a whole foundation that looks into the whole future in the p2p phenomenon. The foundation is called the P2P Foundation . They have a lot of materials on the site. For example, how p2p can replace a capitalist economy with a communist one, how p2p can change a society, a social hierarchy, and human interaction. But in relation to the media, two comments should be made.
In the future, personal media will require clearing services. Now their prototype are universal smart cards or a mobile phone with wallet functions . Perhaps these will be institutions that combine the functions of a personal firewall, antivirus, and a bank. Duration: the next 20 years (maximum!).
Perhaps the state will begin to interfere in private life more and more. Not because of the development of technology in general, realizing the covenants of Big Brother, but because p2p is a private contact between two citizens, which, thanks to the development of the media, will effectively hide both the person and the essence of the interaction. So they will put in jail not for pirated software, but for the impossibility of wiretapping.