Humanity is able to abandon fossil fuels for a period of ten years

Benjamin Sovacuo [Benjamin Sovacool], director of one of the largest UK research centers located at the University of Sussex, in his analytical work describes the possibility of giving up fossil fuels over a ten-year period. According to him, when people from different countries work together, the new energy revolution can happen much faster than those that happened in the past.

According to some experts who are referred to by Sovukuo, if the amount of greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere is not reduced until 2017, global warming will become an irreversible process. In his work, he analyzes the path of previous engineering and technological revolutions.

The transition from wood to coal in Europe took from 96 to 160 years, and the development of electricity - already faster, for a period of 47 to 69 years. The current level of technology development, combined with the depletion of resources and the threat of fundamental climate change, can affect the substantial acceleration of energy progress.

For example, in the Canadian province of Ontario, they abandoned coal for 11 years, from 2003 to 2014. The energy development program in Indonesia helped transfer two-thirds of the country's homes from kerosene tiles to liquefied gas. The nuclear power development program, which in 1970 was responsible only for 4% of the capacity, by 1982 raised the nuclear power industry to 40% of the country's total energy capacity.
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Processes of transition to new energy technologies (vertical - progress as a percentage of the transition)

According to Sovakuo, such rapid and decisive paradigm shifts in energy use are possible, but only with the active support of the government. He points out in his work that public perceptions about the transition between different energy models, as long processes that have been going on for decades, are not always supported by evidence.

The study of paradigm shift processes in the past shows that the duration of changes in the energy sector, measured in decades, is due to the launch of the process on gravity, and in a controlled mode it is quite possible to shorten this period.