Risk management in the fairy tale of A.S. Pushkin “On the Fisherman and the Fish”
After the release of the ISO 31000 standards and the inclusion of requirements for the application of risk management in many documents, risk management was presented as the newest “panacea” for all management diseases. This opinion was especially strengthened after reading the books of Taleb and the search for opportunities opening up in the consequences of the ensuing risks.
But is new risk management and opportunities opened up by risk? In my opinion, these questions are not badly answered in Alexander Sergeyevich Pushkin’s fairy tale “On a Fisherman and a Fish”.
What is risk? The simplest definition says: "Risk is uncertainty in achieving goals." Any human activity is carried out with any purpose and carries with it the risks to achieve them.
What activities did the fisherman do in Pushkin's fairy tale? This is said in one line: "The old man caught a fish with a net."
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The goal of a fisherman is to catch a fish. Fishing activity is high-risk, a number of risks that have already acted are named in the tale:
And strictly according to Taleb, the risk of a fisherman gave rise to the possibility of change:
The old man did not expect the opening opportunity and at first did not believe in it:
The management of the organization after the report of the fisherman about his disbelief in the opportunity that had opened up was dissatisfied and ordered that the activity be continued to search for this opportunity:
Further in the fairy tale it is told that the old man continued his high-risk activities, opening up new and new opportunities for the organization. During her, he was shown a significant increase in the risks of his activities:
In addition to increasing the riskiness of the fisherman’s activities, he was simultaneously lowered in the assessment of the value of his activities by the management of the organization, up to almost complete disregard for his needs:
A very familiar situation in many Russian enterprises in which the incomes of management and employees who carry out their main activities differ by orders of magnitude. But the management is still not paying attention to the increasing risks and requires the continuation of high-risk activities. The result is logical:
What conclusions can be drawn from a fairy tale? Standard for risk management:
But is new risk management and opportunities opened up by risk? In my opinion, these questions are not badly answered in Alexander Sergeyevich Pushkin’s fairy tale “On a Fisherman and a Fish”.
What is risk? The simplest definition says: "Risk is uncertainty in achieving goals." Any human activity is carried out with any purpose and carries with it the risks to achieve them.
What activities did the fisherman do in Pushkin's fairy tale? This is said in one line: "The old man caught a fish with a net."
')
The goal of a fisherman is to catch a fish. Fishing activity is high-risk, a number of risks that have already acted are named in the tale:
« , - . , . , - , , - .» And strictly according to Taleb, the risk of a fisherman gave rise to the possibility of change:
« ! : « , , , : .» The old man did not expect the opening opportunity and at first did not believe in it:
« , : , . : « , ! ; , ». The management of the organization after the report of the fisherman about his disbelief in the opportunity that had opened up was dissatisfied and ordered that the activity be continued to search for this opportunity:
« , . « , , ; - , , : . ; ». : « , ! ! , - ». Further in the fairy tale it is told that the old man continued his high-risk activities, opening up new and new opportunities for the organization. During her, he was shown a significant increase in the risks of his activities:
1. «( .)» 2. «( .)» 3. «, : , , .» In addition to increasing the riskiness of the fisherman’s activities, he was simultaneously lowered in the assessment of the value of his activities by the management of the organization, up to almost complete disregard for his needs:
« , ? , , , , ; ; , . -! , : ", ! ?" , . , . - , , - : " , ! , , : !" A very familiar situation in many Russian enterprises in which the incomes of management and employees who carry out their main activities differ by orders of magnitude. But the management is still not paying attention to the increasing risks and requires the continuation of high-risk activities. The result is logical:
« , . , , - : ; , .» What conclusions can be drawn from a fairy tale? Standard for risk management:
- Not every risk contains opportunities.
- Constant analysis of hazards and the risks they engender are needed.
- Constant work is needed to manage risks and reduce them to an acceptable level.
- The realization of the possibilities contains the risk of remaining “at the bottom of the tub”.
- The management of the organization must understand that illiterate management increases the effect of risks in the activities of personnel.
Source: https://habr.com/ru/post/346582/
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