The Internet will be full in 2010

The report on the upcoming Internet crisis, published a week ago by the relatively young analytical firm Nemertes Research , has received a rather strong response in the press to date. Far from a new topic of the coming “end of the world” on the Internet, when the Network, for whatever reason, will no longer be able to work as it should, recently it has been very actively being discussed from various sides. But there is no smoke without fire, and to ignore the pessimistic forecasts past the ears is unlikely to be the most sensible approach to the problem.

Actually, the report “The needs of users may exceed the bandwidth of the Network by 2010” is available in English completely and without restrictions here (only free registration on the website is required). Its content is briefly clear from the title. In addition to analyzing how fast all new and new users and devices connected to the network will eat all available channels, Nemertes also calculated the costs that may be required to prevent information collapse. Globally, infrastructure modernization requires $ 137 billion, the lion's share of which falls on the United States alone, which would be nice to fork out about fifty billion.

The main culprits of the rapid filling of the Network are, of course, the streaming video and audio and file-sharing networks. In addition, the growing popularity of mobile devices that actively use high-speed wireless Internet connections has a huge impact.