Four days ago (December 3, 2012), KPCB (Kleiner, Perkins, Kofield, and Byers)
published the report 2012 Internet Trends (Update), containing a number of additions to the May
2012 “
2012 Internet Trends ”. Here is a look:
It seemed to me important to look through this report on Habrahabr, because the information and diagrams on some of its 88 pages will certainly be informative and useful for the readers of Habrahabr. Below I will list them in more detail.
On the ninth page, note that Apple tablets are much more popular than Apple mobile phones.
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On the tenth page, pay attention to the fact that mobile phones for Android is almost six times more popular than the iPhone.
The eleventh page clearly shows the ratio of the number of smartphones and other mobile phones;
it is 1: 5.The fifteenth page reports mobile traffic: it already accounts for ≈13% of all Internet traffic. (And in India and surpassed it, as shown on the next page.)
On the twenty-second page begins the story of the rapid changes in life caused by the proliferation of mobile devices. It has the greatest impression on the chart on page 24, clearly showing that the dominance of the WinTel platform in the market is over: ≈ half of the computers sold (if you count the tablets) are operating on Android or iOS, and not Windows. On page 25 it is shown: if you compare sales of mobile phones + tablets with sales of desktops + laptops, then the first ones were the second in the fourth quarter of 2010. If instead of sales to take into account the total number of devices on hand, then the predominance of mobile phones and tablets has not yet been reached, but is expected in the second quarter of the future (2013) of the year.
On page 28 it is reported that in 2002 the number of mobile phones exceeded the number of fixed phones (more precisely, the number of fixed telephone lines - some of them could theoretically be connected not to telephones, but to modems,
fax machines , etc.).
On page 32 it is reported that in 2008 the number of sales of smartphones exceeded the number of sales of individual photo camera cameras.
On the forty-sixth page, all of you will probably be amused in a bad way by a person who leads a finger on the touch screen while signing a document. (“And they call this an electronic signature?”) In terms of fierce primitiveness, this is quite comparable, for example, with the British decree of
1865 that the speed of self-moving carts (that is, cars) should not exceed 4 miles per hour in rural areas and 2 miles at one o'clock in the cities, a man with a red flag (at night - with a lantern) must certainly walk in sixty yards in front of them to alert riders or horse-driven carts about the approach of a self-propelled carriage.
From the sixtieth page begins the demonstration of the merits of the “easy” way of life, in which a person refuses to own real books, sound recordings, video recordings in favor of digital possession (and not even possession, but rent), relies on paid services for home, car care , clothes and so on, lives in removable housing, often does not have a car, instead of walking to the shops, uses delivery services, instead of a wallet - a mobile phone, instead of permanent employment - freelancing ...
Among the top ten pages you can find indications of some problems. On page 79, there is an increase (by an order of magnitude) in US student student arrears, and on page 82, the current difference between US spending and income is comparable only to periods of world wars (First and Second). And on page 84, an even more ominous financial forecast is given, but for the year 2025, so that by that time everything can change more than once.
Finally, I will say that a good half of those report pages that I paid attention to here and found it necessary to retell them, were presented
at BizDev in the blog
post “
Mary Miker’s Annual Report on Trends in the Network: The share of Android + iOS shipments is growing (45% vs. 35 % of Windows) ", which I also recommend to your attention. But I consider it extremely useful to scroll through the entire report as a whole.