About global: modeling problem creation / resolution

About global

What do we see as friends in the yard, classmates, fellow students? What do we see in schools, children's camps, universities? We observe a larva of society. The larva grows and turns into an adult - generation. A generation filling in prisons, selling bread, curing liver, repairing pipes, writing code, taking bribes, saving lives, putting flashing lights on rooftops.
We ourselves, regardless of the state, create groups and public pages on social networks to help homeless animals, we also collect money for operations for children and adults, we coordinate our actions to raise money to help orphanages or shelters. We create web-sites for information about forest fires, urban problems, flooding and floods, trends on Twitter, we create entire platforms for visualizing problems on the map. As a result, we have a fragmented set of services and tools for solving problems.
Will homeless animals disappear in 5 years? After 10? Will the orphans disappear? Will the old men disappear? Stop burning forests? Will there be less reason for the appearance of criminals?
Their problems will remain.
We are trying to treat the sick, to correct, to deal with what we have on the way out, what happens in the end, and not with what leads to it.

Idea

We know cases of failures of one or another type of economy, their models, political systems and, as a result, social problems arising after these events. We know of cases of mass epidemics, world wars and civil unrest. What kind of world will your children live in? What people in one society they will work with? What air will they breathe? What kind of water will they drink? History does not know the particle "if", but the Future tells us all that you know - it means it is armed.
In scientific and technical creativity there is a principle similar to the motto "there is no limit to perfection." For the consistent application of this principle to the development of society and the analysis of results, it is necessary to live two or three lives, perhaps. It's a shame if the deterioration of all indicators of interest is the result of the life of several generations.
How to get results painlessly, foresee changes and not spend on it a generation, do not break the fate and lives of people?
We invent the future, make a movie about it, write books, invent, decipher the human genome, send mobile laboratories to Mars. We have access to computing power ( http://habrahabr.ru/company/ibm/blog/154275/ ), a billion people are involved in social networks ( http://habrahabr.ru/post/153583/ ). We create simulation applications for the development of human civilization. We even play simulators for 10 years ( http://habrahabr.ru/post/145716/ ). We study epidemics in virtual worlds ( http://soft.mail.ru/pressrl_page.php?id=23653 ). But how few people know about the results of these studies! How long are the results embedded in the curriculum! Who tried to popularly highlight the data of these studies?

Sentence:

1. creating the most approximate model - the planet simulator;
2. collection of initial input data;
3. free access to raw output;
4. interpretation of the output by experts and those who wish;
5. free access to the processed data;
6. creation of a platform for modeling the development of the planet under free licenses;
7. running multiple instances of simulation models with different conditions:

• simulation is limited to a finite period of time;
• simulation is not limited in time;
• the simulation is limited by time intervals, but is adjusted in accordance with the real data of the present world based on the data at the time of the next launch (in fact, the multiple case of the launch of the first variant);
• Simulation of the initially perfectly tuned model (ideal input data are laid);
• simulation with theoretical types of economies and / or government systems;
• other options.

Input data:

1. the multitude of all states, their location and territory;
2. the number of population, nationalities, ethnic groups, races;
3. many religions, cultures, features of mentality;
4. state of available technology, science and art;
5. state of the economy of states;
6. climate;
7. tectonic, geomagnetic and cosmic features of the planet;
8. levels of medicine, epidemics and biological features of peoples;
9. other data and parameters.

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Application of simulation results:

1. free access to simulation results;
2. forecasting;
3. long-term planning;
4. definition of new input data for experimental parameters of simulations.

Problems:

1. accessibility and involvement of the whole world;
2. language barrier;
3. collecting opinions / collecting data of public opinion (a farmer in Beloyarsky or a turner in Saratov is hardly interested in the Internet at all (at least in this generation));
4. monitoring;
5. cultural characteristics and differences of mentality, language;
6. the predictions and effects of possible discoveries and inventions.

Conclusion

I foresee many references to Taleb's “Black Swans” , “The Limits to Growth” , the passionary theory of ethnogenesis , but they are also theories. To check on the living and involve people in dubious changes is akin to the Chinese curse “May you live in an era of changes!”. Let the models-surrogates in an accelerated mode give answers to these global questions.

Source of the title image: http://www.flickr.com/photos/arenamontanus/375127836/ .
PS
For dessert, the video that once pushed me to this post: