Gordon Moore: "Moore's law will be valid for another 10-15 years"
At the Intel Developer Forum held in San Francisco, Intel co-founder Gordon Moore gave a forecast to the development of the IT industry, noting that another 10 or 15 years would pass before a fundamental and significant change in the microchip manufacturing process took place. And then the action of "Moore's Law", which states that "doubling the number of transistors in processors will occur within every two years," will slow down significantly or completely stop.
According to Moore (which, incidentally, quite coincides with objective reality), it will not be realistic to continue the production of chips in existing technological processes, the resource of which is practically exhausted. For example, the layer of insulating material used in modern processors has practically reached its minimum and amounts to only a few molecules. As Moore logically notes, it will be simply impossible to make a layer thinner than a molecule.
True, one loophole from the manufacturers is still there. Extending the term of the law is likely to be possible by moving to the production of so-called 3D-chips, in which transistors are not on the same level, but in layers. ')
via IXBT