100 000 000 000 rubles will be required for each winner of the competition.

Yesterday (December 17, 2011), two brief factual articles by Alexey Boyko appeared on the Mobile Forum website (MForum.Ru), based on the December presentation of the 4G Network Development Perspectives G. Sh. Hasyanova (Executive Director of the Operators Union). LTE communication ”).

The first of these sets out a cost estimate for LTE for an existing (existing for several years) operator:

BS number in the range of 698 - 880 MHz	14410
BS number in the range of 2.5 - 2.7 GHz	6400
BS total	20810
Investments in the purchase of equipment and construction	64.2 billion rubles.
The cost of purchasing and installing one base station	3.086 million rubles.
Cost of vehicle infrastructure	17.6 billion rubles.
Total	81.8 billion rubles.

(We must assume that “BS” means a base station, and “TS” means a telecommunications network or something of the same kind.)

It also says that the winners of the competition may be charged 60 billion rubles for conversion (and if the frequencies are divided between the four winners, then 15 billion rubles each will turn out), and the costs of clearing the ranges from MMDS, WiMAX, television broadcasting, and so on are possible. Arithmetically it turns out that each winner of the competition will need the opportunity to attract at least 100 billion rubles (this conclusion seemed to me worthy of the title in Habrahabr).
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Another article provides a table with an estimate of how many base stations will be required to provide LTE coverage in Russia:

	BS in the range of 700 - 860 MHz (coverage)	BS in the range of 2.5 - 2.7 GHz (capacity)
Moscow	350	900
Moscow region	1030	1000
St. Petersburg	360	1000
Cities (from 5 thousand)	12100	3500
Villages and others (up to 5 thousand)	570	0
Total	14410	6400

In total, therefore, 20810 base stations are required.

As it is easy to see, the use of high-frequency base stations outside the cities is not planned at all.