ABI Research, which for almost 20 years of work in the telecommunications business, has established itself as a worthy source of interesting research and weighted analytics, recently released a
report with the alarming title “Cable bandwidth crisis is coming.” Experts are concerned about the lightning-fast rate of increase in the load on cable networks around the world due to the growing popularity of such “heavy” applications as high-definition video and online games. And if decisive measures are not taken now, very soon, even in countries with a developed network infrastructure, a total stupor may occur. According to ABI, the industry needs to spend about $ 80 billion to prevent a catastrophe over the next 5 years.
Actually, among professionals this issue has been discussed for a long time, although so far very few people have so openly attracted attention to it. As ABI vice president Stan Schatt put it, it was “the industry’s dirty little secret.” However, thanks to this, among the many ways to solve it, it is already possible today with a high degree of confidence to choose those who are guaranteed to suit everyone as the lesser of the evils.
One of them is the gradual transition of traditional cable television to digital IPTV broadcasting. This will significantly relieve the network due to the obvious technical advantages of the "numbers" (for example, video compression), as well as the ability to transfer to the user only what he wants to watch, and not everything that can be shown to him. The benefit from this rather expensive step should outweigh the costs of providers. Although, by and large, for them it will be the only way out. According to another biting expression of Shatt, which he dropped in
an interview with Ars Technica, they will “translate” them into the 21st century.
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Another way, which goes in parallel and inseparably with the first, is the banal expansion of the spectrum of frequencies on which the networks operate. Current needs are fully covered by the 750 MHz band, but in the future, as the Shatt says, this will be missed.
Of course, the amount of $ 80 billion does not arouse enthusiasm for anyone except creditors, but over the past 10 years, the industry has already spent more than $ 100 billion on its growth, so strong shocks should not be expected.