Entrepreneur Paul Allen (founder of 11 startups, including genealogical service Ancestry.com) used a
non-standard methodology to estimate the number of Google+ users. He built a model based on US census data on the frequency of occurrence of surnames. Although this model, obviously, does not take into account users outside the US, but Allen still thinks that to assess the audience Google+ is the most suitable way.
Most impressive is the crazy growth rate of the social network. Paul Allen has so far processed 1/4 of the entire census database. According to preliminary data, from Monday to Friday, the number of users increased by 2.8 times - from 1.7 million to 4.7 million people (only in the USA).
For example, here is the number of users with some rare last names on Monday and Saturday.
Surname | Monday | Saturday |
Maring | 3 | 9 |
Tomczyk | five | 20 |
Lagana | 7 | 13 |
Shireman | 2 | 12 |
Tat | 12 | 51 |
Tozzi | 15 | 31 |
Trudel | 9 | 25 |
Yasin | 25 | 52 |
Greb | 3 | eleven |
Toepfer | 3 | 13 |
Cullinane | 7 | 18 |
On Monday, there were a large number of rare surnames that were absent among users of Google+ at all, and already on Friday there were 3-8 people with these names.
')
Updated, more accurate statistics for the entire database Paul Allen promises to publish on Monday.
The explosive growth of Google+ is indirectly confirmed by yesterday's incident with inadvertent “spamming” to social network users (repeated alerts from Google+). As one of the leading Google programmers Vic Gundotra explained, the cause was a technical failure. In the alert system for 80 minutes the
disk space has run out . This was due to the fact that the growth of Google+ turned out to be faster than expected, said Vic Gundotra, so they simply did not calculate the reserve of disk storage.
What can I say, even among the audience Habrahabr
about 52% believe that on our website you need to place the Google +1 button. It is difficult to imagine that the Like button would have such a number of supporters.
However, the “crazy” growth of Google+ still says little about the true potential of this social network. As you know, about 200 million accounts are registered with Gmail, so it’s not difficult to migrate these users to Google+. Another question is how many active accounts and real users among these 200 million.
In addition, we remember how two days after the launch of Google Buzz, we were also told about
tens of millions of users who tried this new feature.