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Mobile menagerie, or where are we going?

About five years ago, when we started doing smartphones, there were only two popular mobile OSes - Windows Mobile, Symbian, and PalmOS.

An old woman with a scythe was getting closer and closer to PalmOS, the new version kept moving back, mobile Linux users didn’t want to become popular and the idea began to creep in my mind that the mobile OS market is about to happen like in the PC market - two popular OS from manufacturer, and linux for fans who are able to pick up the device themselves and change the firmware.

But then Apple came up with iOS - it was a pattern break, and a nail in the coffin of the OS predecessors.

Frankly, I still could not believe about the nail, because I thought as a programmer and fan of the idea - “where I took the software and put it myself on my smartphone”, and not as a consumer, who was actually brought fast food on the market of software consumption. Fast food, even if it was tightly tied to one trough, won, and everyone began to look at it with envy.
And then rushed.
')
What we have today - and we have a zoo - iOS, Android, WP7, Bada, WebOS, a QNX PLaybook is coming up from Blackberry, and Nokia says it’s not going to throw Symbian and MeeGO.
Total 5 live and developing, less interesting for the developer, platforms. One, which continues life by inertia (by the way, we can assume that the two WM6 phones still come out a little bit - the Chinese still support life in it). Another OS is on the way, and maybe two.

If by the end of the year no one suddenly passes away, and all those who plan out come out, then 8 platforms are waiting for us! Maintaining and developing a pack of applications for such a zoo is something else, and I’m not talking about financial costs :)

When do you think this bubble will burst? The fact that it will sooner or later burst, I personally have no doubt.
Or maybe the public has a different opinion?
How do you handle such a number of platforms?

Source: https://habr.com/ru/post/113602/


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