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10 of the most interesting bets on Long Bets

Long Bets is a site where anyone can make a bet, or a long-term forecast, of an event of scientific or social interest.
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The minimum bet amount is $ 200.
Minimum period - 2 years
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Below I offer a list of the 10 most interesting bets that are currently active:

1. Until 2029, no computer or artificial intelligence will pass the Turing Test.
2. By 2012, the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times will refer to Russia as “the world leader in software development.”

3. By 2030 unmanned passenger aircraft will be commonplace

4. At least one person , alive in 2000, will still be alive in 2150.

5. In 2108 , independent, intelligent artificial intelligence will exist as a corporation. He will provide his services and independently make all financial and strategic decisions.

6. By the end of 2020, at least one professional sports team will have a woman.

7. Until 2018, the Large Hadron Collider will destroy the Earth.

8. Until 2020, no one will receive the Nobel Prize for working on superstring theory, M-theory, or any other field theory that describes all the forces of nature.

9. Until 2025, the existence of the Yeti will be proved.

10. Until December 6, 2025, the first true interstellar mission starts to the nearest star except the Sun, or even further, and will be widely supported by the public.

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PS By clicking on the links, you can get acquainted with the arguments that lead opponents. After all, a strong argument, an important criterion for the announcement of the rate.

UPD: moved to the Popular Science.

Source: https://habr.com/ru/post/102986/

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